Rot-Weiss Essen vs Union Berlin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.6%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.2%
64.2%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.8%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Essen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2012 |
VER
2 - 3
ROT
43%
25%
32%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
ROT
2 - 4
ROT
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +2 |
| 25 Jul. 2012 |
ROT
0 - 3
WHU
12%
20%
68%
|
47 | 80 | 33 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
ROT
1 - 1
KÖL
54%
23%
23%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2012 |
FOR
0 - 2
ROT
31%
26%
44%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Union Berlin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
FCU
0 - 1
EBT
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2012 |
KAI
3 - 3
FCU
61%
22%
17%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2012 |
FCU
1 - 1
EIN
47%
24%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
FCU
43%
25%
32%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
FCU
5 - 4
ROS
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | +1 |