Oberliga Hessen Round 22

Rot-Weiß Hadamar vs Fernwald analysis

Rot-Weiß Hadamar Fernwald
21 ELO 31
2.2% Tilt 4.9%
12522º General ELO ranking 4369º
588º Country ELO ranking 198º
ELO win probability
23.1%
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
20.1%
Draw
56.9%
Fernwald

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.1%
Win probability
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.3%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
56.9%
Win probability
Fernwald
2.24
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
4.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-4
2.7%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
+28%
+7%
Fernwald

Points and table prediction

Rot-Weiß Hadamar
Their league position
Fernwald
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
13º
20º
19º
69
19º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Eintracht Frankfurt II
89
89
100%
FC Giessen
82
82
100%
Türkgücü Friedberg
70
70
100%
Fernwald
69
69
100%
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
65
65
100%
KSV Baunatal
62
62
100%
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
60
60
100%
FC Hanau 93
55
58
100%
SV Steinbach 1920
52
52
100%
FC Erlensee
10º
49
49
10º
70%
Eddersheim
11º
47
47
11º
52%
Bayern Alzenau
12º
47
47
12º
52%
Waldgirmes
13º
46
46
13º
52%
Adler Weidenhausen
14º
45
45
14º
100%
Viktoria Griesheim
15º
44
44
15º
100%
Dietkirchen
16º
41
41
16º
100%
Unter-Flockenbach
17º
40
40
17º
100%
Neuhof
19º
37
37
18º
0%
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
18º
37
37
19º
0%
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
20º
25
25
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
Fernwald
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Rot-Weiß Hadamar
Fernwald
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rot-Weiß Hadamar
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Nov. 2022
ROT
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
2 - 2
Dietkirchen
DIE
66%
17%
17%
22 18 4 0
12 Nov. 2022
ROT
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
1 - 1
Eintracht Stadtallendorf
EIN
22%
22%
56%
22 31 9 0
05 Nov. 2022
SUF
Unter-Flockenbach
4 - 1
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
ROT
40%
21%
39%
23 21 2 -1
29 Oct. 2022
ROT
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
1 - 0
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
RWW
30%
21%
49%
21 26 5 +2
23 Oct. 2022
TSV
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
2 - 2
Rot-Weiß Hadamar
ROT
31%
21%
48%
21 18 3 0

Matches

Fernwald
Fernwald
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2022
FER
Fernwald
0 - 0
Rot-Weiß Walldorf
RWW
60%
19%
21%
30 27 3 0
20 Nov. 2022
TSV
TSV Steinbach Haiger II
0 - 2
Fernwald
FER
16%
18%
67%
30 19 11 0
12 Nov. 2022
FCH
FC Hanau 93
2 - 4
Fernwald
FER
61%
19%
20%
28 33 5 +2
05 Nov. 2022
FER
Fernwald
2 - 2
KSV Baunatal
BAU
45%
21%
34%
28 30 2 0
30 Oct. 2022
EDD
Eddersheim
2 - 0
Fernwald
FER
34%
22%
43%
29 26 3 -1