Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Mainz 05 II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.2%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
14%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
SGS
1 - 1
ERF
37%
26%
37%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ERF
2 - 0
SSV
52%
24%
24%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2014 |
WEH
3 - 1
ERF
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ERF
3 - 2
HOL
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
OSN
3 - 1
ERF
50%
25%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Mainz 05 II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
4 - 0
PRE
20%
26%
54%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2014 |
SGD
1 - 1
MAI
77%
16%
7%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2014 |
STU
1 - 0
MAI
54%
24%
22%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 0
COT
23%
26%
51%
|
53 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2014 |
MAI
0 - 2
ROS
36%
24%
40%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | 0 |