Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Magdeburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
41.8%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
ERF
2 - 2
BWA
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
SGD
2 - 1
ERF
76%
15%
9%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
ERF
1 - 0
LOK
44%
24%
32%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
BWA
0 - 0
ERF
44%
26%
31%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
ERF
5 - 2
ZWI
68%
19%
14%
|
81 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Magdeburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 1982 |
MAG
3 - 2
SGD
48%
24%
28%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 1982 |
LOK
0 - 0
MAG
45%
24%
32%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1982 |
MAG
2 - 0
FCU
82%
12%
6%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 May. 1982 |
MAG
2 - 1
CHE
75%
15%
10%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1982 |
LOK
3 - 2
MAG
44%
24%
33%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |