Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
24.6%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.4%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
47.4%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
ROS
3 - 0
ERF
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
ERF
1 - 3
LOK
43%
26%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
FCU
2 - 1
ERF
40%
29%
32%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
ERF
2 - 1
HAL
49%
26%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
CHE
3 - 0
ERF
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1973 |
CZJ
1 - 1
CHL
74%
16%
10%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1973 |
BFC
1 - 1
CZJ
38%
28%
34%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1973 |
CZJ
2 - 0
SGD
55%
24%
21%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1973 |
MAG
1 - 1
CZJ
47%
26%
28%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1973 |
FVF
1 - 1
CZJ
35%
23%
42%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |