Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Chemnitzer analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+63%
+47%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
COT
1 - 0
ERF
27%
27%
47%
|
82 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
ERF
2 - 2
BFC
24%
23%
53%
|
82 | 89 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
MAG
1 - 1
ERF
66%
19%
15%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
ERF
1 - 3
FVF
56%
23%
22%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
ZWI
1 - 6
ERF
26%
28%
47%
|
81 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Chemnitzer
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 1986 |
CHE
0 - 0
FVF
44%
25%
30%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 1986 |
CHE
1 - 1
BSV
63%
20%
17%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1986 |
COT
1 - 3
CHE
32%
27%
41%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1986 |
CHE
4 - 1
ZWI
69%
19%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1986 |
MAG
1 - 0
CHE
72%
16%
12%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |