Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Wismut Aue analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CHE
1 - 1
ERF
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 0
FVF
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
ERF
2 - 0
FCU
60%
23%
18%
|
79 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
LOK
2 - 1
ERF
69%
18%
13%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
ERF
1 - 1
HAL
47%
25%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Wismut Aue
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 1978 |
CZJ
6 - 0
BWA
77%
15%
9%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 4
BFC
30%
28%
42%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 May. 1978 |
BCB
2 - 0
BWA
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1978 |
BWA
0 - 0
MAG
21%
25%
54%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1978 |
WIS
0 - 2
BWA
37%
26%
36%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |