Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs BSG Empor Lauter analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.5%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rot-Weiss Erfurt
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BAB
1 - 2
ERF
58%
20%
21%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 2
LAS
55%
22%
23%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 2
SGD
51%
23%
26%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1953 |
ERF
3 - 2
HAL
48%
24%
29%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1953 |
ERF
1 - 0
SVL
64%
19%
17%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BSG Empor Lauter
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 1
SAC
57%
21%
23%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1953 |
BSS
1 - 1
BEL
51%
21%
28%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1953 |
BEL
0 - 1
ZWI
53%
22%
26%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 May. 1953 |
BEL
2 - 1
BSS
58%
20%
22%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1953 |
BEL
1 - 1
SGD
46%
23%
31%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |