Roskilde vs BGA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
59.6%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roskilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr. 2006 |
ABK
2 - 0
ROS
49%
23%
28%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
ROS
2 - 2
STE
54%
23%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
ROS
1 - 2
FCK
41%
25%
35%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
NOR
1 - 1
ROS
75%
16%
9%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SLA
3 - 2
ROS
64%
20%
16%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
BGA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
AVA
0 - 1
BGA
17%
20%
62%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2006 |
BGA
0 - 1
NAE
61%
21%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
VBK
0 - 2
BGA
16%
20%
64%
|
53 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2006 |
BGA
3 - 2
ABK
75%
15%
10%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BGA
3 - 0
FCK
67%
18%
15%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |