Rosignano vs Mezzolara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
29%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rosignano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
BAG
2 - 2
ROS
51%
24%
25%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 1
ASS
66%
20%
14%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 0
ROS
35%
27%
38%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
ROS
1 - 0
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIR
2 - 3
ROS
60%
23%
17%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Mezzolara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MEZ
0 - 0
CAM
58%
22%
20%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2012 |
TUT
0 - 0
MEZ
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
BAG
0 - 1
MEZ
49%
23%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MEZ
2 - 0
ASS
59%
23%
18%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 1
MEZ
37%
27%
37%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |