Q. Europa League 2nd Round Final
Global 3-5
RoPS Rovaniemi vs Asteras Tripolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
38%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RoPS Rovaniemi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2014 |
ROP
3 - 0
TPS
48%
27%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
HON
0 - 2
ROP
60%
23%
17%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
FFJ
1 - 1
ROP
50%
25%
25%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jun. 2014 |
MYP
1 - 1
ROP
52%
26%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2014 |
ROP
3 - 0
INT
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Asteras Tripolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2014 |
TRI
0 - 1
SGD
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ATR
3 - 1
TRI
48%
27%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 0
PAO
40%
27%
33%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
PAN
1 - 0
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -2 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
TRI
1 - 3
PAN
45%
27%
28%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | -1 |