Roncalli vs Portichetto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roncalli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
OLI
0 - 2
RON
28%
23%
49%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
RON
2 - 0
GAV
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
RON
48%
23%
29%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
RON
0 - 3
UBO
65%
19%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BUS
0 - 2
RON
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Portichetto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
GAV
38%
23%
38%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
UBO
1 - 1
POR
58%
21%
21%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 0
UNI
24%
22%
54%
|
21 | 33 | 12 | +3 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
POR
49%
23%
29%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 3
LEN
56%
21%
23%
|
21 | 19 | 2 | -1 |