Romulus vs Kettering Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.6%
18.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.5%
64.8%
Win probability
2.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.6%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.1%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.6%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
ROM
2 - 6
ALV
48%
21%
31%
|
25 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 1
ROM
40%
24%
37%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
RUG
2 - 3
ROM
29%
24%
47%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2017 |
ROM
0 - 0
MAR
55%
21%
24%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
COR
5 - 1
ROM
68%
18%
14%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Kettering Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2017 |
KET
3 - 0
STN
80%
13%
7%
|
43 | 25 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
KIN
2 - 5
KET
20%
22%
58%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
KET
3 - 0
BAS
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2017 |
KET
1 - 0
RED
80%
14%
7%
|
41 | 25 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2017 |
SLO
1 - 2
KET
36%
24%
40%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |