Romulus vs Belper Town FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
32.2%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romulus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BED
4 - 2
ROM
55%
22%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
SLA
2 - 0
ROM
74%
17%
10%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
WIT
29%
23%
49%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2016 |
HER
3 - 0
ROM
64%
22%
14%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
ROM
1 - 1
HER
26%
25%
49%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belper Town FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
SPA
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
BEL
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 1
BEL
25%
22%
54%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
HED
1 - 2
BEL
61%
20%
20%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
BEL
1 - 2
GRE
57%
21%
22%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |