Romford vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.2%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.3%
58.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.4%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.8%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.2%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Romford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 3
LOW
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
EAS
1 - 0
ROM
83%
12%
5%
|
18 | 47 | 29 | -1 |
| 31 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
0 - 0
WIN
20%
24%
56%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
MAL
0 - 1
ROM
72%
18%
11%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
ROM
1 - 2
NOR
18%
23%
60%
|
16 | 40 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2009 |
LEI
6 - 4
YEL
39%
27%
34%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2009 |
ATH
0 - 2
YEL
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2009 |
YEL
1 - 2
BUR
65%
20%
15%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
SOH
0 - 1
YEL
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2009 |
YEL
0 - 2
BEA
50%
24%
26%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | -1 |