Roma vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.1%
17.4%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
BOL
0 - 0
ROM
58%
25%
18%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1969 |
ROM
3 - 0
BRE
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
ROM
1 - 2
VER
62%
22%
15%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 1969 |
BRE
1 - 0
ROM
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
CAG
0 - 0
ROM
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 0
VAR
54%
26%
21%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1969 |
NAP
1 - 0
VIC
60%
24%
17%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 1
ACM
25%
31%
44%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1969 |
FIO
3 - 0
VIC
68%
21%
11%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1969 |
VIC
1 - 1
CAG
38%
29%
33%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |