Roma vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.7%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1962 |
ROM
1 - 2
ZAR
64%
18%
17%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
39%
25%
36%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
ROM
0 - 1
ACM
45%
22%
33%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1962 |
ROM
2 - 5
GEN
79%
13%
8%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 1962 |
ZAR
2 - 4
ROM
73%
15%
13%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1962 |
VNZ
2 - 0
SAM
42%
25%
33%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1962 |
FTC
6 - 0
SAM
58%
21%
21%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 1962 |
SAM
3 - 0
NAP
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1962 |
ACM
0 - 1
SAM
85%
10%
5%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1962 |
SAM
1 - 0
FTC
57%
21%
23%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |