Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
23.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
UDI
0 - 0
ROM
49%
28%
23%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 1
TOR
39%
30%
32%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
PRG
3 - 1
ROM
57%
26%
18%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
NAP
3 - 0
ROM
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
ROM
1 - 2
BOL
60%
25%
15%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 1979 |
LAZ
1 - 1
CAG
63%
23%
14%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1979 |
ASC
1 - 1
LAZ
43%
29%
29%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 1979 |
LAZ
2 - 0
PES
66%
22%
12%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1979 |
LAZ
1 - 1
PRG
50%
28%
22%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1979 |
INT
2 - 1
LAZ
63%
22%
15%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |