Serie A round 22

Roma vs Lazio analysis

Roma Lazio
79 ELO 79
-3.8% Tilt -21.5%
30º General ELO ranking 36º
Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
56.7%
Roma
21.5%
Draw
21.9%
Lazio

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
Roma
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.9%
Win probability
Lazio
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roma
-7%
+4%
Lazio

ELO progression

Roma
Lazio
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 1957
PAD
Padova
0 - 1
Roma
ROM
48%
25%
28%
79 73 6 0
17 Feb. 1957
ROM
Roma
6 - 1
Udinese
UDI
58%
21%
21%
79 76 3 0
10 Feb. 1957
PAL
Palermo FC
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
31%
27%
43%
79 65 14 0
03 Feb. 1957
ROM
Roma
1 - 1
Genoa
GEN
65%
20%
15%
79 74 5 0
27 Jan. 1957
BOL
Bologna
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
63%
19%
18%
79 80 1 0

Matches

Lazio
Lazio
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 1957
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 2
Bologna
BOL
51%
23%
27%
79 80 1 0
17 Feb. 1957
VIC
Vicenza
1 - 1
Lazio
LAZ
40%
26%
35%
79 72 7 0
10 Feb. 1957
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Fiorentina
FIO
43%
24%
33%
79 85 6 0
03 Feb. 1957
JUV
Juventus
3 - 3
Lazio
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
78 82 4 +1
27 Jan. 1957
LAZ
Lazio
3 - 0
Palermo FC
PAL
70%
18%
13%
78 66 12 0