Roma vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
PAD
0 - 1
ROM
48%
25%
28%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
ROM
6 - 1
UDI
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
PAL
1 - 0
ROM
31%
27%
43%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
ROM
1 - 1
GEN
65%
20%
15%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
BOL
1 - 0
ROM
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1957 |
LAZ
3 - 2
BOL
51%
23%
27%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1957 |
VIC
1 - 1
LAZ
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1957 |
LAZ
3 - 0
FIO
43%
24%
33%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1957 |
JUV
3 - 3
LAZ
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 1957 |
LAZ
3 - 0
PAL
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |