Roma vs Cagliari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.4%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.9%
7.7%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
ATL
4 - 1
ROM
51%
22%
27%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
3 - 1
TOR
72%
16%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
BOL
1 - 5
ROM
18%
21%
61%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2020 |
CSK
3 - 1
ROM
17%
20%
63%
|
88 | 78 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
ROM
0 - 0
SAS
70%
17%
13%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Cagliari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
CAG
1 - 1
UDI
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2020 |
PAR
0 - 0
CAG
43%
27%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
CAG
1 - 3
INT
17%
22%
61%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
VER
1 - 1
CAG
50%
24%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CAG
2 - 2
SPE
55%
23%
21%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |