Roma U19s vs Sampdoria Sub 19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
22.1%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
-32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
65
1º
6º
1º
31
5º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 68 |
1º
|
78.5% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
78.5% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 59 |
3º
|
95.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
95.5% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 52 |
5º
|
73% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 51 |
6º
|
35.5% | |
|
10º
|
46 | 49 |
7º
|
16.5% | |
|
7º
|
48 | 49 |
8º
|
35% | |
|
8º
|
47 | 48 |
9º
|
43.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 47 |
10º
|
49% | |
|
11º
|
41 | 42 |
11º
|
56% | |
|
12º
|
40 | 41 |
12º
|
45.5% | |
|
14º
|
36 | 39 |
13º
|
35% | |
|
13º
|
38 | 39 |
14º
|
33% | |
|
15º
|
36 | 36 |
15º
|
46.5% | |
|
16º
|
34 | 35 |
16º
|
55% | |
|
|
17º
|
31 | 31 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
25 | 26 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma U19s
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROM
38%
23%
40%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2023 |
ROM
3 - 2
FRO
75%
15%
10%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2023 |
EMP
3 - 5
ROM
28%
22%
51%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
ROM
1 - 0
FIO
44%
23%
34%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
LEC
0 - 1
ROM
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Sampdoria Sub 19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
3 - 1
SPE
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
2 - 2
LEC
48%
23%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BOL
1 - 2
SAM
38%
23%
39%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
SAM
1 - 0
ATA
49%
22%
29%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | +2 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
SAS
4 - 3
SAM
48%
23%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |