Roma vs Independiente Chivilcoy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
33.4%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
RDT
0 - 1
DFG
67%
17%
16%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
ULO
1 - 1
RDT
62%
19%
20%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
RDT
0 - 2
IND
60%
20%
20%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
RDT
2 - 2
MVN
61%
19%
20%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2020 |
RDT
2 - 0
UNJ
61%
19%
20%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Independiente Chivilcoy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
IND
2 - 0
ULO
32%
24%
45%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
DFG
0 - 3
IND
39%
24%
38%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
RDT
0 - 2
IND
60%
20%
20%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
IND
3 - 1
CDM
54%
23%
24%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
MER
0 - 0
IND
32%
24%
45%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | -1 |