Serie D Grupo F round 14

Roma City vs Fano analysis

Roma City Fano
45 ELO 46
-9.2% Tilt -3.8%
4573º General ELO ranking 17478º
162º Country ELO ranking 457º
ELO win probability
41.7%
Roma City
27.4%
Draw
30.9%
Fano

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
Roma City
1.32
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
30.9%
Win probability
Fano
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

Points and table prediction

Roma City
Their league position
Fano
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
11º
32
18º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Campobasso
70
70
100%
L'Aquila
68
68
100%
Avezzano
59
59
100%
Sambenedettese
58
58
100%
Roma City
52
52
100%
ASD Atletico Ascoli
50
50
100%
Vigor Senigallia
49
49
100%
Chieti
48
48
100%
SN Notaresco 2018
45
45
100%
Termoli Calcio
10º
43
43
10º
100%
FC Fossombrone
12º
41
41
11º
0%
Sora
11º
41
41
12º
0%
Real Monterotondo Scalo
13º
41
41
13º
100%
Riccione
14º
37
37
14º
0%
Tivoli
15º
37
37
15º
0%
Fano
16º
32
32
16º
100%
Vastogirardi
17º
29
29
17º
100%
Matese
18º
26
26
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Roma City
Fano
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Roma City
Fano
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roma City
Roma City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2023
AVE
Avezzano
2 - 0
Roma City
RCF
35%
27%
38%
44 44 0 0
19 Nov. 2023
RCF
Roma City
4 - 1
Tivoli
SSD
59%
22%
19%
44 35 9 0
12 Nov. 2023
SOR
Sora
0 - 2
Roma City
RCF
45%
24%
31%
42 41 1 +2
05 Nov. 2023
VSU
Vigor Senigallia
2 - 2
Roma City
RCF
57%
22%
21%
41 48 7 +1
01 Nov. 2023
RCF
Roma City
4 - 0
Real Monterotondo Scalo
RMS
51%
22%
28%
40 37 3 +1

Matches

Fano
Fano
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Nov. 2023
CAM
Campobasso
1 - 0
Fano
FAN
57%
23%
19%
49 51 2 0
26 Nov. 2023
FAN
Fano
0 - 3
Tivoli
SSD
63%
22%
16%
49 34 15 0
19 Nov. 2023
ASD
ASD Atletico Ascoli
0 - 0
Fano
FAN
21%
27%
53%
50 26 24 -1
12 Nov. 2023
FAN
Fano
2 - 2
Vigor Senigallia
VSU
41%
26%
33%
50 48 2 0
05 Nov. 2023
CAM
Campobasso
1 - 0
Fano
FAN
54%
25%
22%
50 50 0 0