Roma A vs Sarria B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.9%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.2%
28.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roma A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
3 - 4
MFC
41%
23%
36%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
4 - 2
SSJ
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
ROM
5 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
30%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
APS
8 - 0
ROM
79%
13%
8%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2015 |
ROM
4 - 3
ESQ
23%
21%
56%
|
7 | 13 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Sarria B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
0 - 1
MON
47%
22%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
MFC
1 - 1
SAR
58%
20%
22%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SAR
2 - 2
LSB
57%
20%
22%
|
10 | 8 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
PAR
0 - 4
SAR
41%
22%
37%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
APS
4 - 2
SAR
75%
15%
10%
|
10 | 16 | 6 | 0 |