Rodez vs Villefranche analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
28.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rodez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2020 |
ROD
1 - 1
NÎM
17%
21%
62%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
ROD
2 - 1
GUI
28%
26%
46%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
SOC
1 - 1
ROD
42%
28%
31%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
ROD
0 - 1
LOR
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2020 |
LMU
0 - 0
ROD
38%
27%
35%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Villefranche
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 2
TRO
21%
24%
55%
|
58 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 1
ANN
61%
23%
17%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2020 |
DUN
1 - 1
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
1 - 2
BOU
45%
26%
29%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
SPO
3 - 0
VIL
21%
27%
52%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | -1 |