Eredivisie Round 27

Roda JC vs Willem II analysis

Roda JC Willem II
73 ELO 66
17.9% Tilt 5%
952º General ELO ranking 375º
27º Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
69.3%
Roda JC
17.9%
Draw
12.7%
Willem II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.3%
Win probability
Roda JC
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.9%
12.7%
Win probability
Willem II
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Roda JC
-9%
-24%
Willem II

ELO progression

Roda JC
Willem II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Roda JC
Roda JC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1982
FEY
Feyenoord
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
80%
13%
7%
73 88 15 0
04 Apr. 1982
SPA
Sparta Rotterdam
1 - 2
Roda JC
RJC
65%
20%
15%
73 75 2 0
28 Mar. 1982
RJC
Roda JC
4 - 1
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
74%
17%
9%
72 64 8 +1
20 Mar. 1982
HFC
HFC Haarlem
1 - 0
Roda JC
RJC
52%
24%
24%
73 68 5 -1
14 Mar. 1982
RJC
Roda JC
1 - 2
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
22%
23%
55%
73 88 15 0

Matches

Willem II
Willem II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 Apr. 1982
WIL
Willem II
3 - 0
Utrecht
UTR
41%
27%
32%
63 80 17 0
03 Apr. 1982
TWE
Twente
2 - 0
Willem II
WIL
81%
13%
6%
64 87 23 -1
27 Mar. 1982
GAE
Go Ahead Eagles
1 - 1
Willem II
WIL
68%
18%
14%
64 71 7 0
21 Mar. 1982
WIL
Willem II
0 - 1
PSV
PSV
18%
24%
58%
64 88 24 0
13 Mar. 1982
NAC
NAC Breda
1 - 4
Willem II
WIL
62%
22%
16%
63 69 6 +1