League One round 39

Rochdale vs Scunthorpe United analysis

Rochdale Scunthorpe United
54 ELO 56
4.6% Tilt 11.9%
3270º General ELO ranking 3551º
85º Country ELO ranking 91º
ELO win probability
37.3%
Rochdale
25.9%
Draw
36.8%
Scunthorpe United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.3%
Win probability
Rochdale
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
36.8%
Win probability
Scunthorpe United
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rochdale
+1%
+25%
Scunthorpe United

ELO progression

Rochdale
Scunthorpe United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rochdale
Rochdale
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
12 Mar. 2019
ROC
Rochdale
0 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
37%
26%
37%
53 58 5 0
09 Mar. 2019
ROC
Rochdale
2 - 1
Shrewsbury Town
STF
23%
26%
51%
52 63 11 +1
02 Mar. 2019
LUT
Luton Town
2 - 0
Rochdale
ROC
78%
15%
7%
52 71 19 0
23 Feb. 2019
PLY
Plymouth Argyle
5 - 1
Rochdale
ROC
54%
23%
23%
53 57 4 -1
19 Feb. 2019
ROC
Rochdale
3 - 4
AFC Wimbledon
AFC
49%
26%
25%
54 54 0 -1

Matches

Scunthorpe United
Scunthorpe United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Mar. 2019
OPA
Portsmouth
2 - 0
Scunthorpe United
SCU
64%
22%
15%
57 68 11 0
12 Mar. 2019
SCU
Scunthorpe United
4 - 1
Southend United
SOU
45%
26%
29%
56 57 1 +1
09 Mar. 2019
SCU
Scunthorpe United
0 - 1
Bristol Rovers
BRO
42%
27%
31%
57 58 1 -1
02 Mar. 2019
OXF
Oxford United
2 - 1
Scunthorpe United
SCU
47%
25%
28%
57 58 1 0
23 Feb. 2019
SCU
Scunthorpe United
1 - 1
Doncaster Rovers
DON
25%
25%
50%
57 66 9 0