Rochdale vs Gillingham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.5%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
45%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.4%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+40%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rochdale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
BRO
2 - 1
ROC
58%
22%
20%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
YOR
0 - 0
ROC
44%
26%
30%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 1
WYC
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
3 - 0
ROC
52%
25%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
ROC
0 - 3
STA
63%
21%
17%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Gillingham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
MOR
1 - 1
GIL
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2013 |
EXE
0 - 0
GIL
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GIL
2 - 1
PLY
71%
19%
10%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ALD
1 - 1
GIL
30%
28%
43%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
GIL
0 - 1
OXF
65%
21%
14%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |