Rocha FC vs Nacional analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
45.5%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rocha FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
2 - 0
CSC
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
ROC
3 - 0
PLA
66%
20%
14%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
DEF
0 - 2
ROC
59%
23%
18%
|
68 | 79 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
RIV
2 - 1
ROC
57%
23%
20%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
ROC
4 - 1
CER
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Nacional
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
COL
0 - 0
NAC
24%
25%
51%
|
81 | 68 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIV
69%
18%
12%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
REN
73%
17%
10%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
NAC
1 - 0
TAC
74%
16%
9%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
FEN
1 - 2
NAC
31%
26%
44%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |