Roccella vs Sarnese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.5%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
ROC
3 - 2
NFR
21%
21%
58%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
GEL
2 - 1
ROC
70%
17%
13%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ROC
1 - 2
GRA
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
USC
2 - 1
ROC
30%
23%
47%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ROC
2 - 1
POM
41%
23%
36%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Sarnese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
SAR
1 - 0
GRA
23%
22%
54%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
USC
2 - 0
SAR
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | -2 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 0
POM
31%
26%
43%
|
29 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
DTO
0 - 3
SAR
25%
27%
48%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
SAR
0 - 1
TUR
23%
25%
53%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -1 |