Roccella vs Reggina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.8%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
55.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9.5%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Roccella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
AGR
1 - 1
ROC
61%
20%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
ROC
2 - 2
PAL
64%
19%
18%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
TOR
1 - 1
ROC
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
ROC
3 - 3
NFR
36%
23%
41%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 3
ROC
54%
22%
24%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | +2 |
Matches
Reggina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
SAR
69%
19%
12%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
3 - 1
REG
25%
25%
50%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
MES
0 - 1
REG
31%
25%
44%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2015 |
REG
1 - 0
MES
67%
20%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
REG
32%
26%
43%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | +3 |