RM Castilla vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
UBC
2 - 0
RMC
30%
27%
44%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
RMC
1 - 0
PON
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
BUR
0 - 0
RMC
35%
28%
36%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2004 |
RMC
2 - 0
MAJ
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 34 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
CFP
2 - 1
RMC
24%
26%
50%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
ALC
23%
28%
50%
|
37 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
ALC
1 - 1
TOM
71%
20%
9%
|
37 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 1
UDC
38%
29%
33%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2004 |
CDT
5 - 1
TOM
66%
22%
11%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
TOM
1 - 0
TAL
22%
27%
51%
|
35 | 47 | 12 | +2 |