RM Castilla vs CD Lugo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2025 |
RMC
1 - 3
FCA
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
RMC
2 - 1
RCF
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
MAR
0 - 4
RMC
28%
24%
49%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
ALC
0 - 0
RMC
25%
27%
48%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
RMC
4 - 0
FUE
66%
21%
13%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
CD Lugo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
1 - 0
CUL
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 2
BER
69%
19%
12%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
SAR
0 - 0
LUG
16%
22%
62%
|
67 | 47 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2025 |
SDA
1 - 0
LUG
57%
24%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2025 |
LUG
2 - 0
ZAM
37%
30%
33%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |