Copa del Rey . 1/64
Global 1-3
RM Castilla vs Barakaldo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
29.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
RMC
2 - 1
GUA
82%
14%
4%
|
49 | 29 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
CFP
1 - 0
RMC
33%
30%
37%
|
50 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
ATB
2 - 2
RMC
48%
24%
28%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
RMC
1 - 1
SAL
80%
15%
5%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
PEG
1 - 3
RMC
44%
28%
28%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Barakaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 1973 |
BAR
1 - 1
VAD
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1973 |
DEP
1 - 0
BAR
64%
24%
12%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 1973 |
OSA
1 - 1
BAR
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 1973 |
BAR
3 - 2
CCF
45%
27%
28%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1973 |
LIN
0 - 0
BAR
38%
29%
33%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |