Sarto vs t Zand analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
31.7%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
6º
14º
8º
36
5º
12º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
52 | 52 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
48 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
36 | 37 |
6º
|
87% | |
|
7º
|
33 | 36 |
7º
|
74.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 33 |
8º
|
38.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 32 |
9º
|
26% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
55% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
65% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 22 |
13º
|
94% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 18 |
14º
|
94% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
96.5% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SCK
1 - 1
RKS
47%
22%
31%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
RKS
2 - 1
EAV
28%
22%
51%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | +2 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
RKS
1 - 1
DOS
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ERP
1 - 0
RKS
61%
19%
20%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
RKS
2 - 2
FCB
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
t Zand
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
TZA
2 - 0
RKS
52%
21%
28%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
NEM
2 - 3
TZA
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
GEL
0 - 2
TZA
76%
14%
10%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
TZA
5 - 0
SVM
52%
21%
27%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
TAC
2 - 1
TZA
74%
15%
11%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |