Ríver vs Picos SE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.5%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
VIT
1 - 0
RIV
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
2 - 3
VIT
9%
18%
73%
|
50 | 77 | 27 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
SDJ
0 - 1
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
ALT
0 - 0
RIV
50%
24%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2017 |
RIV
0 - 1
ALT
32%
25%
44%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Picos SE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
PIC
0 - 2
FLA
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PIA
1 - 2
PIC
39%
24%
37%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
4DE
44%
24%
32%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
ALT
1 - 0
PIC
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
PIC
1 - 3
PAR
43%
26%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |