Ríver vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+125%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
PIC
0 - 1
RIV
32%
26%
43%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
0 - 2
FLA
50%
25%
25%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Feb. 2013 |
4DE
1 - 3
RIV
45%
26%
29%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
RIV
2 - 0
BAR
51%
24%
25%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
COR
1 - 1
RIV
23%
23%
55%
|
44 | 27 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 2013 |
COR
2 - 2
PIA
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
PIA
57%
24%
19%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
4 - 2
BAR
44%
25%
32%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
PIA
0 - 0
FLA
41%
25%
34%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
4DE
0 - 0
PIA
62%
22%
16%
|
36 | 47 | 11 | +1 |