CFU Championship . Quarter-finals
Global 2-3
River Plate Puerto Rico vs Alpha United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.4%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
9.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.3%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Puerto Rico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AUN
0 - 0
RIV
14%
19%
67%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
FCL
1 - 4
RIV
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 2
SFC
57%
23%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2011 |
BOD
1 - 0
RIV
15%
19%
66%
|
61 | 30 | 31 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2011 |
RIV
2 - 0
BOD
85%
10%
4%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
Matches
Alpha United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
AUN
0 - 0
RIV
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 61 | 32 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2010 |
ROU
0 - 0
AUN
52%
22%
26%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2010 |
AUN
2 - 1
MIL
55%
22%
22%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
GUY
1 - 2
AUN
48%
24%
28%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2010 |
AUN
3 - 0
BUX
56%
22%
22%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |