River Plate Montevideo vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
BOS
0 - 0
RIV
41%
25%
33%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
3 - 2
CER
56%
25%
20%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
RAC
0 - 0
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
RIV
2 - 0
PLA
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
CEL
2 - 1
RIV
28%
28%
45%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
DEP
61%
24%
15%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
DEF
2 - 2
PEÑ
36%
27%
37%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2023 |
PEÑ
1 - 0
BOS
59%
25%
16%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
LUZ
3 - 4
PEÑ
23%
28%
49%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2023 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
CER
63%
23%
14%
|
81 | 67 | 14 | 0 |