River Plate Montevideo vs Defensor Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.4%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.8%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
23%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate Montevideo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2022 |
CSC
1 - 5
RIV
18%
25%
57%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 5
RIV
25%
28%
47%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
CAJ
1 - 2
RIV
4%
10%
86%
|
74 | 8 | 66 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
FEN
1 - 2
RIV
37%
27%
36%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
BOS
1 - 2
RIV
44%
26%
30%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Defensor Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2022 |
RAC
0 - 1
DEF
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
DEF
1 - 0
MWA
41%
27%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
PLA
0 - 1
DEF
36%
29%
35%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
DEF
0 - 1
BOS
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
TOR
0 - 2
DEF
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |