Guayaquil City vs Liga de Quito analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.5%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
47.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
OCT
4 - 0
RIV
53%
26%
21%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
0 - 3
AUC
33%
24%
44%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
TEC
3 - 0
RIV
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 2021 |
RIV
4 - 1
ORE
49%
25%
26%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 2
UCE
27%
26%
47%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Liga de Quito
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
1 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
EME
1 - 1
LIG
48%
26%
26%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2021 |
LIG
0 - 0
MUS
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
LIG
2 - 2
BSC
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2021 |
CUE
2 - 2
LIG
29%
27%
43%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |