Guayaquil City vs 9 de Octubre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
18.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
2º
9º
2º
33
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
40 | 40 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
37 | 37 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
35 | 35 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 33 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 28 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 26 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
18 | 18 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Guayaquil City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2025 |
INJ
1 - 1
RIV
41%
28%
32%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
RIV
4 - 1
ESA
62%
24%
14%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CSV
1 - 0
RIV
23%
30%
47%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
RIV
3 - 0
MAN
48%
26%
26%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 2
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
9 de Octubre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2025 |
OCT
2 - 1
IMB
44%
26%
30%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2025 |
LFC
1 - 1
OCT
29%
29%
43%
|
74 | 63 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2025 |
OCT
0 - 0
JUL
72%
18%
9%
|
74 | 11 | 63 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
GUA
0 - 0
OCT
32%
28%
40%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
OCT
0 - 2
RIV
38%
28%
34%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |