River Plate David vs Río Abajo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.8%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
55.6%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.8%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
River Plate David
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 3
VER
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GEM
4 - 1
RIV
64%
21%
16%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
RIV
1 - 0
TIE
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
SUN
7 - 1
RIV
72%
17%
11%
|
42 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
RIV
3 - 2
VIS
64%
20%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Río Abajo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 0
CEN
71%
19%
11%
|
60 | 40 | 20 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
NAC
0 - 0
RIO
28%
27%
45%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
COS
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 49 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
CHI
1 - 2
RIO
18%
23%
59%
|
60 | 39 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MIL
1 - 2
RIO
28%
25%
48%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |