Riograndense SM vs EC Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.2%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.2%
8.8%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Riograndense SM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
LAJ
0 - 1
RIO
36%
25%
39%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
RIO
1 - 0
ACP
61%
21%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2008 |
FAR
3 - 2
RIO
38%
25%
37%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2008 |
RIO
1 - 0
ECA
39%
24%
37%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jun. 2008 |
RIO
3 - 0
PEL
39%
26%
35%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
EC Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GLO
4 - 0
ECM
78%
14%
8%
|
17 | 44 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
ECM
2 - 2
PAN
28%
24%
48%
|
16 | 27 | 11 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2008 |
RIO
2 - 0
ECM
76%
15%
9%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2008 |
ECM
1 - 4
ECA
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 48 | 31 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2008 |
SJO
5 - 2
ECM
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 38 | 20 | -1 |