Carioca Série B1 1ª Fase. Jor. 5

Rio Sao Paulo vs Serrano FC analysis

Rio Sao Paulo Serrano FC
13 ELO 32
0.7% Tilt 1.3%
35090º General ELO ranking 29815º
1040º Country ELO ranking 933º
ELO win probability
17.6%
Rio Sao Paulo
19.9%
Draw
62.5%
Serrano FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.6%
Win probability
Rio Sao Paulo
1.06
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.5%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
62.5%
Win probability
Serrano FC
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Rio Sao Paulo
-25%
+44%
Serrano FC

ELO progression

Rio Sao Paulo
Serrano FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Rio Sao Paulo
Rio Sao Paulo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2020
GON
Gonçalense
1 - 1
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
74%
16%
11%
13 36 23 0
26 Sep. 2020
RIO
Rio Sao Paulo
0 - 2
Maricá
CMA
12%
16%
72%
14 42 28 -1
19 Sep. 2020
DUQ
Duque de Caxias
3 - 0
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
76%
14%
9%
14 39 25 0
01 Aug. 2018
AME
Americano
3 - 0
Rio Sao Paulo
RIO
81%
13%
6%
15 48 33 -1
25 Jul. 2018
RIO
Rio Sao Paulo
0 - 5
Americano
AME
8%
16%
75%
16 48 32 -1

Matches

Serrano FC
Serrano FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Sep. 2020
SFC
Serrano FC
0 - 3
Duque de Caxias
DUQ
27%
25%
48%
34 41 7 0
26 Sep. 2020
OLA
Olaria
1 - 2
Serrano FC
SFC
42%
25%
33%
33 35 2 +1
23 Sep. 2020
SFC
Serrano FC
0 - 1
Audax Rio
AUD
25%
25%
51%
34 42 8 -1
19 Sep. 2020
SER
Serra Macaense
2 - 3
Serrano FC
SFC
51%
22%
27%
33 35 2 +1
18 Sep. 2019
NCI
Nova Cidade
1 - 0
Serrano FC
SFC
31%
23%
46%
34 26 8 -1
X