Río Grande vs Chapulineros de Oaxaca analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.3%
65%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.5%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
7.9%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.9%
0-4
4%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.6%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+539%
+45%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
11
2º
5º
3º
14
1º
4º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
14 | 20 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
11 | 15 |
3º
|
54.5% | |
|
3º
|
14 | 14 |
4º
|
54.5% | |
|
4º
|
11 | 11 |
5º
|
18% | |
|
5º
|
11 | 11 |
6º
|
74% | |
|
7º
|
7 | 11 |
7º
|
42.5% | |
|
10º
|
0 | 4 |
8º
|
51% | |
|
8º
|
0 | 3 |
9º
|
48% | |
|
9º
|
0 | 0 |
10º
|
82% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Río Grande
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
RGO
3 - 0
MDO
8%
13%
79%
|
7 | 38 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Chapulineros de Oaxaca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
19%
22%
59%
|
64 | 37 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
3 - 2
HAQ
70%
18%
12%
|
64 | 45 | 19 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
NEZ
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2022 |
MDO
2 - 2
CHA
14%
21%
65%
|
64 | 38 | 26 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
CHA
4 - 1
FUR
64%
21%
16%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |