Rio Branco Acre vs São Francisco AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.6%
7.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+71%
+83%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
1 - 1
ADE
67%
19%
14%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
IND
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 32 | 29 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 1
VAS
74%
16%
10%
|
61 | 33 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
ATL
1 - 3
RIO
21%
22%
57%
|
61 | 38 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2006 |
RIO
2 - 0
AND
78%
15%
8%
|
61 | 17 | 44 | 0 |
Matches
São Francisco AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2006 |
ADE
1 - 0
SFC
77%
14%
10%
|
8 | 46 | 38 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2006 |
JUV
5 - 2
SFC
76%
14%
10%
|
8 | 42 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2006 |
IND
3 - 0
SFC
73%
15%
11%
|
8 | 30 | 22 | 0 |