Rio Branco Acre vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
34.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
BAR
85%
10%
5%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2018 |
ECM
0 - 3
RIO
20%
20%
60%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
3 - 0
GAL
42%
23%
36%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
GAL
2 - 2
RIO
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 0
ATL
40%
24%
35%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
5 - 2
ECM
84%
11%
5%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
MAN
12%
18%
70%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAY
16%
20%
64%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | -2 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
FAS
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 1
PRI
60%
22%
18%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |