Rio Branco Acre vs Independência analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.7%
Win probability
2.45
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.5%
6.8%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+56%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2005 |
RIO
1 - 3
MOT
46%
24%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
FOR
5 - 1
RIO
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 1
FOR
34%
26%
40%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2004 |
RIO
0 - 1
RIO
37%
26%
37%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2004 |
RIO
1 - 0
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Independência
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2000 |
SAO
6 - 1
IND
66%
18%
16%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2000 |
IND
1 - 1
SAO
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2000 |
BAR
1 - 1
IND
56%
22%
23%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2000 |
IND
1 - 0
BAR
59%
21%
20%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 1999 |
IND
1 - 3
POR
3%
14%
84%
|
35 | 81 | 46 | 0 |