Rio Branco SP vs Paulista analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
INT
1 - 2
RIO
48%
26%
27%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
2 - 4
RBB
27%
26%
47%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 4
RIO
45%
25%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 0
XVD
24%
27%
49%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +1 |
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 2
PAU
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
INT
37%
27%
37%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
XVD
3 - 1
PAU
70%
19%
11%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
PAU
0 - 1
RBB
30%
26%
44%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2014 |
IND
1 - 0
PAU
43%
25%
32%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | -1 |